Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala
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| Formato: | Online |
| Idioma: | eng |
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Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala
2019
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| Acceso en línea: | https://revistas.usac.edu.gt/index.php/cytes/article/view/631 |
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CYTES631 |
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ojs |
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CYTES6312022-10-03T18:27:42Z Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala Ponciano, Juan A. Polanco, William Barrios, Marlon This study analyses time series of dengue occurrence in the southern region of Guatemala. Temporal patterns of epidemic outbreaks in the department of Escuintla were investigated using the official reports from 2001 to 2013. In order to identify underlying associations with climate behavior, the epidemiological data were compared with historical reports available for temperature, rainfall and humidity. Preliminary results reveal that waves of dengue outbreaks exhibit a periodic pattern modulated by climatic conditions. A hierarchical cluster analysis allowed to indirectly estimate the degree of association of each climatic variable with dengue occurrences, showing the dominance of rainfall in dengue outbreaks patterns in three different localities. A further prospective analysis was performed to check whether epidemic trends driven by rainfall are hold in the subsequent years. Results presented here give support to predictive models for dengue incidence driven by climate. Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala 2019-10-02 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Artículos Científicos application/pdf https://revistas.usac.edu.gt/index.php/cytes/article/view/631 10.36829/63CTS.v6i2.631 Ciencia, Tecnología y Salud; Vol. 6 No. 2; 158-170 Ciencia, Tecnología y Salud; Vol. 6 Núm. 2; 158-170 2409-3459 2410-6356 eng https://revistas.usac.edu.gt/index.php/cytes/article/view/631/581 Derechos de autor 2019 Juan A. Ponciano, William Polanco, Marlon Barrios https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
| institution |
Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala |
| collection |
Ciencia, Tecnología y Salud |
| language |
eng |
| format |
Online |
| author |
Ponciano, Juan A. Polanco, William Barrios, Marlon |
| spellingShingle |
Ponciano, Juan A. Polanco, William Barrios, Marlon Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| author_facet |
Ponciano, Juan A. Polanco, William Barrios, Marlon |
| author_sort |
Ponciano, Juan A. |
| title |
Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| title_short |
Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| title_full |
Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| title_fullStr |
Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Dengue outbreaks pattern in southern Guatemala |
| title_sort |
dengue outbreaks pattern in southern guatemala |
| publisher |
Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala |
| publishDate |
2019 |
| url |
https://revistas.usac.edu.gt/index.php/cytes/article/view/631 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT poncianojuana dengueoutbreakspatterninsouthernguatemala AT polancowilliam dengueoutbreakspatterninsouthernguatemala AT barriosmarlon dengueoutbreakspatterninsouthernguatemala |
| _version_ |
1805406444733857792 |